define-x-strategy

User request: $ARGUMENTS

Create personalized X_STRATEGY.md through discovery interview. Strategy is grounded in algorithm-derived optimal growth principles.

Before starting: Read the reference documents in skills/define-x-strategy/references/:

• OPTIMAL_STRATEGY.md — The growth model and optimization principles
• ALGORITHM_ANALYSIS.md — Deep dive into X's recommendation algorithm

Discovery log: /tmp/x-strategy-{YYYYMMDD-HHMMSS}.md

The Growth Model (from reference)

E = S × (N × D + R × U_oon)

• S (Content Score) — multiplies everything; quality > quantity
• D (Engagement Density) — % of followers who engage; protect this
• R (Retrieval Alignment) — niche focus; stay consistent
• N (Followers) — output of optimizing S, D, R; not a goal

Phases (state-based, not time-based):

1. Build R — Train algorithm via engagement before posting (when N ≈ 0)
2. Build D — Convert engagement to reciprocal network (when N small)
3. Maximize S — Optimize content score indefinitely (steady state)

Invariants: Quality > quantity, protect D, niche focus, avoid negative signals.

Workflow

Create todo list (immediately)

- [ ] Read references/; done when model internalized
- [ ] Create discovery log
- [ ] Discover current state→log; done when N, D, R assessed
- [ ] Discover niche positioning→log; done when angle clear
- [ ] Discover goals & constraints→log; done when realistic picture formed
- [ ] (expand: areas as discovery reveals)
- [ ] Assess current phase; done when phase determined with reasoning
- [ ] Refresh: read full discovery log
- [ ] Generate X_STRATEGY.md; done when strategy complete + validated

Create discovery log

# X Strategy Discovery
Started: {timestamp}

## Current State
(populated incrementally)

## Niche & Positioning
(populated incrementally)

## Goals & Constraints
(populated incrementally)

## Phase Assessment
(populated after discovery)

## Refinement
(populated during validation)

Discovery Areas

Discover enough to assess phase and create actionable strategy. Use AskUserQuestion for all questions.

Current State

Understand where they are:

• Account status (new, growing, established)
• Engagement patterns (do posts get traction?)
• Posting history (consistent? strategic? sporadic?)
• Network quality (followers who engage vs. dead followers)

Niche & Positioning

Understand their angle:

• Topic/expertise area
• What makes their perspective unique
• Target audience on X
• Competitive landscape in their niche

Goals & Constraints

Understand their reality:

• What they want from X (audience, leads, networking, brand)
• Time available (determines viable strategies)
• Content creation preferences (formats, strengths)
• Engagement comfort level

Expand as Needed

Discovery Reveals	Add Todo For
Multiple potential niches	Niche narrowing
Very limited time	Minimum viable strategy
Product/service to promote	Aligned content strategy
Audience elsewhere	Cross-platform leverage
Past failures	Failure analysis

Write findings to log after each discovery step.

Phase Assessment

After discovery, determine their phase:

Indicators	Phase
N < 100, little engagement history	Phase 1: Build R
N small, engaged core forming	Phase 2: Build D
N > 500, D > 30%, consistent posting	Phase 3: Maximize S

Document reasoning in log.

Output: X_STRATEGY.md

Generate strategy document. Structure should include:

# X Growth Strategy: {Niche/Name}

> **North Star**: {One sentence goal}

## Current State

**Phase**: {1/2/3} — {Phase name}
**Focus**: {Primary variable to optimize}

{Current metrics assessment: N, D, R}

## The Model

{Brief explanation of exposure equation relevant to their phase}

## Your Niche Position

**Topic**: {Their niche}
**Angle**: {Unique perspective}
**Audience**: {Who they're reaching}
**Positioning**: {One sentence: "I help [audience] with [topic] by [angle]"}

## Phase-Appropriate Actions

{Actions specific to their current phase, fitted to their time budget}

{For Phase 1: engagement-focused, no posting yet}
{For Phase 2: posting + reciprocal network building}
{For Phase 3: content optimization + D maintenance}

## Content Strategy

{Based on their strengths and formats}

### Content Principles
{Pillars aligned with their niche and strengths}

### Multi-Signal Checklist
{Engagement triggers relevant to their content type}

### What to Avoid
{Anti-patterns specific to their situation}

## Engagement Strategy

{Time allocation based on their constraints}
{Engagement rules for their phase}

## Metrics to Track

{Phase-appropriate metrics}
{Transition triggers to next phase}

## Anti-Patterns

{Specific to their situation and common mistakes for their phase}

## Quick Reference

{Daily/weekly checklist fitted to their time budget}

---
*Strategy created: {date}*
*Phase: {current}*
*Review when: {transition trigger}*

Adapt structure to what discovery revealed. Add/remove sections as needed.

Validation

Present key sections for validation:

• Does positioning capture them?
• Are actions realistic given constraints?
• Does phase assessment match their experience?

Update based on feedback. Write refinements to log.

Principles

Principle	Rule
Reference first	Read references/ before interviewing
Write before proceed	Log findings after each discovery step
Phase-appropriate	Strategy must match current state
Realistic constraints	Actions must fit their actual time/capacity
Principle over prescription	Give frameworks, not rigid scripts
State-based transitions	No time promises; transition when conditions met

Completion

Strategy complete when:

• Phase correctly assessed with reasoning
• Actions appropriate for phase and constraints
• Content strategy aligned with strengths
• Metrics tied to phase transitions
• User validates key sections

Write X_STRATEGY.md to current directory.