fpf-problem-portfolio

What this skill IS

This is strategic problem selection, not issue triage. You are managing a portfolio of problems — deciding which problems to invest effort in, balancing exploration vs exploitation, maintaining diversity, and preserving stepping stones.

Key questions while filling the template:

• Which problems are in the zone of proximal development (goldilocks)?
• Am I over-investing in one type of problem (exploit bias)?
• Which problems, even if not urgent, could open new solution spaces (stepping stones)?
• What problem types are NOT in the portfolio but should be?

Prerequisites

• ≥2 PROB/ANOM-* cards exist (otherwise no portfolio needed)
• If comparing problems on measurable dimensions: invoke /fpf-characterize for problem-level characterization. Q dimensions in the portfolio table MUST reference CHR-* indicators, not hardcoded defaults.

Output

.fpf/portfolios/PPORT-${CLAUDE_SESSION_ID}--<slug>.md

Constraints (quality bar)

• C1: Selection rule stated BEFORE applying — not post-hoc rationalized
• C2: Archive complete — no hidden problems
• C3: ≥1 active problem has stepping-stone potential (not all exploit)
• C4: Diversification check honest — flags imbalances (problem type, domain, risk level)
• C5: Each active problem references existing PROB/ANOM-*
• C6: Goldilocks filter applied — trivial and impossible problems identified and deferred
• C7: Q dimensions in NQD table reference CHR-* indicators when characterization exists (not hardcoded impact/feasibility)

Selection policy examples

• Impact × Feasibility: highest expected value first (exploit-heavy)
• Learning value: problems that teach the most about the domain (explore-heavy)
• Barbell: 80% safe + 20% speculative stepping stones
• Constraint-driven: solve blocking problems first, then expand

Format

# Problem Portfolio
- **ID:** PPORT-...  **Scope:** ...  **E/E policy:** explore|exploit|barbell

## Selection rule
(policy stated before applied, chosen from above or custom)

## Active problems (NQD-characterized)
| # | ID | Title | D_c | Q:[impact] | Q:[feasibility] | Q:[stepping-stone] | N | D_p |
Pipeline: D_c (goldilocks filter) → Q dominance (Pareto) → N, D_p (tie-breakers). Never collapse Q to single score.

## Deferred
| # | ID | Title | Why deferred | Revisit condition |

## Diversification check
- Problem types covered: ...
- Not covered: ... (flag if imbalanced)
- Explore/exploit balance: ...