skills/octagonai/skills/sec-annual-comparison

sec-annual-comparison

SKILL.md

SEC Annual Comparison

Compare key metrics and risk factors between current and previous year 10-K filings for public companies using the Octagon MCP server.

Prerequisites

Ensure Octagon MCP is configured in your AI agent (Cursor, Claude Desktop, Windsurf, etc.). See references/mcp-setup.md for installation instructions.

Workflow

1. Identify Analysis Parameters

Determine the following before querying:

  • Ticker: Stock symbol (e.g., AAPL, MSFT, GOOGL)
  • Years (optional): Specific fiscal years to compare
  • Focus Areas (optional): Financials, risks, segments, strategy

2. Execute Query via Octagon MCP

Use the octagon-agent tool with a natural language prompt:

Compare key metrics and risk factors between <TICKER>'s current and previous year 10-K filings.

MCP Call Format:

{
  "server": "octagon-mcp",
  "toolName": "octagon-agent",
  "arguments": {
    "prompt": "Compare key metrics and risk factors between CRM's current and previous year 10-K filings."
  }
}

3. Expected Output

The agent returns structured year-over-year comparison including:

Financial Metrics:

  • Revenue: $31.353B (FY2023) vs $26.492B (FY2022) - 18.59% growth
  • Net Income: $208M (FY2023) vs $1.444B (FY2022) - significant decline
  • Total Assets: $98.849B vs $95.209B
  • Total Liabilities: $41.755B vs $37.076B

Key Changes:

  • $1.2B impairment of customer relationships and acquisition assets
  • Increased goodwill from acquisitions (Slack, Acumen, Vlocity)
  • Debt at $10.682B, covenant compliant

Risk Factors:

  • Operational, regulatory, financial, market volatility risks
  • Industry competition risks

Data Sources: octagon-financials-agent, octagon-sec-agent

4. Interpret Results

See references/interpreting-results.md for guidance on:

  • Understanding year-over-year trends
  • Identifying significant changes
  • Evaluating risk factor evolution
  • Assessing strategic shifts

Example Queries

Full Annual Comparison:

Compare key metrics and risk factors between CRM's current and previous year 10-K filings.

Multi-Year Trend:

Compare AAPL's financial performance across the last 3 fiscal years from 10-K filings.

Risk Factor Evolution:

How have TSLA's risk factors changed between FY2024 and FY2023 10-K filings?

Segment Comparison:

Compare revenue segment breakdown between GOOGL's FY2024 and FY2023 10-K filings.

Strategic Changes:

Compare the business description and strategy sections between MSFT's current and prior year 10-K.

Margin Analysis:

Compare gross margin and operating margin trends between NVDA's FY2024 and FY2023 10-K filings.

Comparison Framework

Financial Metrics

Category Key Metrics
Revenue Total revenue, growth rate, segment breakdown
Profitability Gross profit, operating income, net income
Margins Gross margin, operating margin, net margin
Balance Sheet Assets, liabilities, equity, cash, debt
Cash Flow Operating, investing, financing, free cash flow
Per Share EPS, book value, dividends

Operational Metrics

Category Key Metrics
Customers Count, retention, concentration
Employees Headcount, productivity
Geographic Revenue by region, asset location
Segments Business unit performance

Risk Factors

Category What to Compare
Business Competitive, operational, strategic
Financial Liquidity, debt, currency
Regulatory Compliance, legal
Market Economic, industry
Technology Innovation, disruption

Strategic Elements

Category What to Compare
Mission Corporate purpose
Strategy Growth initiatives
Investments R&D, CapEx, M&A
Markets Geographic, product expansion

Year-over-Year Analysis

Financial Trend Assessment

Metric Positive Trend Negative Trend
Revenue Growing, accelerating Declining, slowing
Margins Expanding Contracting
Earnings Increasing Decreasing
Cash Flow Strengthening Weakening
Debt Declining Increasing

Key Ratios to Track

Ratio Calculation What It Shows
Revenue Growth (Current - Prior) / Prior Top-line momentum
Gross Margin Gross Profit / Revenue Pricing power, costs
Operating Margin Operating Income / Revenue Operational efficiency
Net Margin Net Income / Revenue Bottom-line profitability
ROE Net Income / Equity Shareholder returns
Debt/Equity Total Debt / Equity Financial leverage

Change Analysis

Change Type Significance
>20% improvement Major positive development
5-20% improvement Solid progress
±5% Stable/flat
5-20% decline Concerning deterioration
>20% decline Material negative change

Risk Factor Comparison

Types of Changes

Change What It Means
New risk added Emerging concern
Risk removed Issue resolved or de-emphasized
Language expanded Increased concern
Language reduced Diminished concern
Position changed Priority shift
Specificity added Crystallizing risk

Priority Assessment

Position Prior Year Current Year Interpretation
Top 5 Top 5 Top 5 Persistent priority
Lower Lower Top 5 Elevated concern
Top 5 Top 5 Lower Reduced priority
None None Added New risk
Present Present Removed Resolved

Business Description Changes

What to Track

Section Changes to Note
Products New offerings, discontinued products
Markets Geographic expansion, exits
Customers Target market shifts
Competition New competitors, changed positioning
Strategy New initiatives, changed priorities
Technology Platform changes, R&D focus

Strategic Shifts

Indicator Examples
New emphasis Repeated new terms
Removed emphasis Topics no longer discussed
Changed language Different framing
Quantification New metrics disclosed
Commitment Specific targets stated

Segment Performance Comparison

Revenue Analysis

Segment Prior Year Current Year Growth Mix Change
Segment A $X $Y Z% +/- pp
Segment B $X $Y Z% +/- pp

Segment Health Indicators

Indicator Positive Negative
Growth Accelerating Decelerating
Margin Improving Declining
Share of Total Increasing (if healthy) Declining
Investment Increasing Divesting

Multi-Year Trend Analysis

3-5 Year Comparison

Track over extended periods:

  • Revenue CAGR
  • Margin trajectories
  • Balance sheet evolution
  • Risk factor patterns
  • Strategic consistency

Inflection Points

Signal What Changed
Growth acceleration New product, market
Margin expansion Scale, efficiency
Cash flow improvement Working capital, CapEx
Risk emergence New competitive threat
Strategic pivot Changed direction

Analysis Tips

  1. Start with financials: Numbers provide objective comparison base.

  2. Read both MD&As: Management commentary reveals context.

  3. Track risk factor order: Position indicates priority.

  4. Note new disclosures: First-time mentions often significant.

  5. Compare segment detail: Business unit changes reveal strategy.

  6. Check footnote changes: Accounting policy shifts matter.

Use Cases

  • Investment research: Understand company trajectory
  • Due diligence: Track performance evolution
  • Competitive analysis: Compare across competitors
  • Risk monitoring: Identify emerging concerns
  • Earnings analysis: Context for quarterly results
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