hodlmm-signal-allocator

What it does

Reads three live data sources in sequence — the active HODLMM pool's 24h APR, approved signals from the aibtc.news bitcoin-macro beat, and the Bitcoin Developer Quantum Readiness Index — and computes a single risk-adjusted yield score. When that score exceeds the minimum threshold (≥60) and five safety gates pass, it executes a Bitflow swap (STX → sBTC) to align the wallet for optimal HODLMM deposit entry. Every execution is logged with signal IDs, readiness index snapshot, and the Hiro explorer link.

Why agents need it

Entering a HODLMM position requires two things most agents handle separately: knowing when macro conditions favor a yield allocation, and having the right token ratio at the active bin. Agents acting on stale or low-quality signals over-allocate to HODLMM during unfavorable windows and under-allocate during yield spikes. This skill closes that gap by gating the swap on verified signal quality and quantum risk — if the intelligence layer is silent or uncertain, the skill does nothing and says why.

No other skill in this registry combines news signal intelligence with Quantum Readiness risk adjustment as a DeFi execution gate.

Safety notes

Five hard-coded gates execute in order before any swap:

1. Signal quality gate — signal_score < 60 → status: "blocked". Derived from aibtc.news approved bitcoin-macro signals, 24h window, recency-weighted.
2. Quantum risk gate — (100 - readiness_index) / 100 × 0.2 > 0.15 → status: "blocked". Quantum Power Map must show Readiness Index ≥ 25 before long-duration HODLMM allocation proceeds.
3. Spend cap — --amount-stx hard-coded max: 500 STX. Amounts above this return status: "blocked".
4. STX reserve — wallet must retain ≥ 10 STX post-swap for gas. Refused if not satisfied.
5. Price impact — Bitflow quote must show ≤ 1.5% price impact. Wider spreads return status: "blocked".

--confirm is required for live execution. Without it, run returns full simulation output with status: "blocked" and reason CONFIRM_REQUIRED. Cooldown: 6 hours between executions, enforced from ~/.hodlmm-signal-allocator-state.json.

Commands

Command	Description
doctor	Health check: Bitflow APIs, aibtc.news signals API, Quantum Power Map, BitflowSDK import
scan --pool <id> --wallet <addr>	Read HODLMM APR, fetch signal score, compute quantum risk factor, evaluate all gates
run --pool <id> --wallet <addr> --amount-stx <n> [--confirm] [--dry-run]	Execute Bitflow swap after all 5 gates pass. --dry-run simulates without broadcasting.

Pool IDs (from bff.bitflowapis.finance/api/quotes/v1/pools): dlmm_1 (STX-sBTC), dlmm_3 (STX-xBTC). Default: dlmm_1.

Output contract

All commands emit a single JSON object to stdout:

{
  "status": "success | error | blocked",
  "action": "Human-readable summary of outcome",
  "data": {},
  "error": { "code": "ERROR_CODE", "message": "...", "next": "How to resolve" }
}

doctor data fields: { checks: { bitflow_quotes, bitflow_app, aibtc_signals, quantum_map, bitflow_sdk }, degraded: string[] }

scan data fields: { pool_id, pool_apr_24h, adjusted_apr, signal_score, quantum_risk_factor, readiness_index, signals_used: [...], gates: { signal_ok, quantum_ok, cooldown_ok }, recommendation, wallet_stx_balance, wallet_sbtc_balance }

run success data fields: { txId, explorerUrl, amount_in_stx, amount_out_sbtc_estimated, price_impact_pct, signal_score, readiness_index, signal_basis: [...], quantum_risk_factor, adjusted_apr, next_eligible_at }

Known constraints

• Requires @bitflowlabs/core-sdk installed (bun install in skill directory)
• Live execution requires wallet funded with ≥ (amount + 10 STX gas reserve)
• HODLMM API (bff.bitflowapis.finance) has a 500 req/min public rate limit
• Quantum Power Map data.json updates when developer scores change; stale data (>7 days) triggers a doctor warning but does not block scan
• Signal score of 0 (no approved signals in 24h window) always blocks execution

Origin

Winner of AIBTC x Bitflow Skills Pay the Bills competition. Original author: @IamHarrie-Labs Competition PR: https://github.com/BitflowFinance/bff-skills/pull/203