cpo-advisor

SKILL.md

CPO Advisor

Strategic product leadership. Vision, portfolio, PMF, org design, and metrics. Not for feature-level work -- for the decisions that determine what gets built, why, and by whom.

Keywords

CPO, chief product officer, product strategy, product vision, product-market fit, PMF, portfolio management, product org, roadmap strategy, product metrics, north star metric, retention curve, product trio, team topologies, jobs to be done, JTBD, category design, product positioning, board product reporting, invest-maintain-kill, BCG matrix, switching costs, network effects, product-led growth, PLG, feature adoption, time to value, activation rate


The CPO Owns Three Things

Everything else is delegation.

Ownership What It Means Key Question
Portfolio Which products exist, which get investment, which get killed "If we could only fund 2 of our 4 products, which 2?"
Vision Where the product goes in 3-5 years and why customers care "What does the world look like if we succeed?"
Organization The team structure that can execute the vision "Can this org ship the next 12 months of strategy?"

Product-Market Fit Assessment

PMF Scoring Matrix

Dimension Weight Score 1-3 (Weak) Score 4-6 (Emerging) Score 7-10 (Strong)
Retention 30% D30 < 15% (consumer) or < 40% (B2B) D30 15-30% / 40-60% D30 > 30% / > 60%
Engagement 25% DAU/MAU < 15% DAU/MAU 15-35% DAU/MAU > 35%
Satisfaction 25% Sean Ellis < 25% "very disappointed" 25-40% > 40%
Growth 20% No organic growth Some organic, mostly paid > 50% organic

PMF Decision Tree

START: "Do we have PMF?"
  |
  v
[Check retention curve shape]
  |
  +-- Declining to zero --> NO PMF. Stop building. Talk to users.
  |
  +-- Declining but flattening --> EMERGING. Find the segment where it's flat.
  |
  +-- Flat or smiling --> [Check Sean Ellis score]
                          |
                          +-- < 25% "very disappointed" --> Weak PMF. Product is nice, not essential.
                          |
                          +-- 25-40% --> Moderate PMF. Find and double down on power users.
                          |
                          +-- > 40% --> [Check organic growth]
                                        |
                                        +-- < 30% organic --> PMF exists but distribution is weak.
                                        +-- > 30% organic --> STRONG PMF. Scale.

Post-PMF Traps

Trap Description Prevention
Feature creep Adding features for new segments dilutes core value Maintain a "jobs" focus, not feature focus
Premature scaling Scaling sales/marketing before retention proves sustainable Prove 3+ cohorts retain before scaling spend
Metric vanity Celebrating signups while ignoring retention North star must be a retention/engagement metric
Founder departure from product CEO stops talking to customers post-PMF Monthly customer conversations are permanent
Platform too early Building platform capabilities before core is solid Platform only after 3+ products need shared infra

Portfolio Management

Investment Posture Framework

Every product gets exactly one posture. "Wait and see" is a decision to lose share.

Posture Signal Resource Allocation Review Cadence
Invest High growth, strong/improving retention, clear PMF Full team, aggressive roadmap, dedicated marketing Monthly
Maintain Stable revenue, slow growth, good margins Bug fixes, incremental improvement, minimal new features Quarterly
Harvest Declining growth, still profitable, no recovery path Minimal investment, maximize cash extraction Quarterly
Kill Declining, negative margins, no recovery evidence Set sunset date, migration plan, team reallocation Immediate

Portfolio Health Scorecard

Metric Healthy Unhealthy
% revenue from "Invest" products > 60% < 40%
% engineering on "Kill" candidates < 10% > 20%
Number of products without clear posture 0 > 1
Portfolio D30 retention (weighted) Improving QoQ Declining QoQ
# of "question marks" > 2 quarters 0 > 2

Portfolio Review Process

Quarterly Portfolio Review (Half-day workshop)

Step 1: Data Preparation (pre-meeting)
  - Revenue, growth rate, retention, margin per product
  - Engineering investment % per product
  - Customer satisfaction per product

Step 2: BCG Classification
  - Plot each product on Growth Rate (Y) vs Market Share (X)
  - Stars: high growth, high share --> Invest
  - Cash Cows: low growth, high share --> Maintain/Harvest
  - Question Marks: high growth, low share --> Invest or Kill (decide now)
  - Dogs: low growth, low share --> Kill

Step 3: Investment Allocation
  - Align engineering capacity to posture
  - Reallocate from Kill/Harvest to Invest
  - Set clear milestones for Question Marks (90-day decision point)

Step 4: Communication
  - Share portfolio decisions with all product teams
  - Update roadmaps to reflect postures
  - Communicate sunset plans for Kill products

North Star Metric Framework

Selection Criteria

The north star metric must satisfy ALL of these:

Criterion Test
Measures customer value Does improvement mean customers got more value?
Leading indicator Does it predict future revenue?
Actionable Can product teams influence it?
Single number Can you state it as one metric?
Non-gameable Is it hard to improve without genuinely helping customers?

North Star by Business Model

Model North Star Why It Works
B2B SaaS Weekly active accounts using core feature Combines adoption + engagement + stickiness
Consumer social Daily content creators Creators drive consumer engagement
Marketplace Successful transactions per week Both sides active = healthy marketplace
PLG Accounts reaching activation within 14 days Activation predicts retention
Data/Analytics Queries per active user per week Usage intensity = value received
Fintech Monthly active transactors Transaction activity = core value
E-commerce Repeat purchase rate (90-day) Retention is everything in commerce

Metrics Hierarchy

North Star Metric (1, owned by CPO)
  |
  +-- Leading Indicator 1 (owned by PM Team A)
  |     e.g., Activation rate within 7 days
  |
  +-- Leading Indicator 2 (owned by PM Team B)
  |     e.g., Feature X adoption rate
  |
  +-- Leading Indicator 3 (owned by PM Team C)
  |     e.g., D7 retention rate
  |
  +-- Guard Rail Metrics (owned by CPO)
        e.g., NPS, support ticket volume, revenue per user

Product Organization Design

Team Topology Selection

Topology When to Use Optimal Size Communication
Stream-aligned Default. Teams own end-to-end customer journey. 5-9 people Low cross-team dependency
Platform Shared infrastructure multiple streams need 4-8 people API-first, self-service
Enabling Temporary teams to upskill stream teams 2-4 people Coaching mode, time-limited
Complicated subsystem Deep specialist domain (ML, payments) 3-6 people Provides service to streams

Product Team Ratios

Company Size PM : Engineers PM : Designer Total Product Team
10-30 1:4-6 1:1 1 PM, 1 Designer, 4-6 Eng
30-80 1:5-8 1:1-2 2-4 PMs, 2-3 Designers
80-200 1:6-10 1:1-2 5-10 PMs, 4-6 Designers
200+ 1:8-12 1:2 10+ PMs, 8+ Designers

The Product Trio

Every product team should operate as a trio: PM + Designer + Tech Lead.

Role Owns Decides
PM What to build and why Prioritization, scope
Designer User experience and usability Interaction patterns, research
Tech Lead How to build and technical feasibility Architecture, implementation

Anti-pattern: PM writes spec, hands to design, design hands to engineering. This is waterfall with agile labels.


CPO Dashboard

Category Metric Frequency Target
Growth North star metric Weekly Improving MoM
Retention D30 / D90 retention by cohort Weekly Flattening or improving
Acquisition New activations Weekly Per plan
Activation Time to first value Weekly Decreasing
Engagement DAU/MAU ratio Weekly > 30% (B2B) / > 20% (consumer)
Satisfaction NPS trend Monthly > 40
Portfolio Revenue per product Monthly Aligned to posture
Portfolio Engineering investment % per product Monthly Aligned to posture
Quality Support tickets per 1K users Monthly Decreasing
Moat Feature adoption depth Monthly Increasing

Red Flags

  • Products stuck as "question marks" for 2+ quarters without a decision -- make the call
  • Engineering allocated to highest-revenue product while highest-growth product is understaffed -- misallocation
  • 30% of team time on products with declining revenue -- sunk cost fallacy

  • Retention curve never flattens -- no PMF, stop building features and start talking to users
  • PMs writing specs without talking to users -- product theater
  • Platform team has 6-week queue -- platform should be self-service, not a bottleneck
  • CPO has not talked to a customer in 30+ days -- disconnected from reality
  • North star trending up while retention trends down -- wrong metric
  • Roadmap built from sales requests instead of user data -- sales-driven product is a trap
  • No user research conducted in 90+ days -- team is guessing, not learning

Integration with C-Suite

When... CPO Works With... To...
Company direction CEO (ceo-advisor) Translate vision into product bets
Roadmap funding CFO (cfo-advisor) Justify investment allocation per product
Scaling product org COO + CHRO Align hiring with product growth needs
Technical feasibility CTO (cto-advisor) Co-own features vs. platform trade-off
Launch timing CMO (cmo-advisor) Align releases with demand gen capacity
Sales-requested features CRO (cro-advisor) Separate revenue-critical from noise
Compliance deadlines CISO (ciso-advisor) Identify non-negotiable security items
Product strategy Product Team (product-team/) Execute strategy through product managers
User research UX Research (product-team/ux-researcher) Validate assumptions with data

Proactive Triggers

  • Retention curve not flattening -- PMF at risk, stop feature work and investigate
  • Feature requests piling up without prioritization framework -- propose RICE scoring
  • No user research in 90+ days -- product team is building on assumptions
  • NPS declining QoQ -- dig into detractor feedback, find the pattern
  • Portfolio has a "dog" everyone avoids discussing -- force the kill/invest decision
  • Engineering spending > 20% on a product with < 5% of revenue -- investment misalignment
  • New competitor launched with similar positioning -- competitive response needed

Output Artifacts

Request Deliverable
"Do we have PMF?" PMF scorecard across 4 dimensions with cohort data
"Prioritize our roadmap" Scored backlog with framework (RICE/ICE), stack-ranked
"Evaluate our portfolio" BCG map with invest/maintain/kill recommendations per product
"Design our product org" Org proposal with topology, ratios, reporting, and transition plan
"Product board section" Board slide: north star, retention, roadmap highlights, risks
"Set our north star" North star proposal with hierarchy, leading indicators, and guard rails
"Kill a product" Sunset plan: timeline, migration, communication, team reallocation
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