Hypothesis Tracker

Hypothesis management per CEO Bible Section J.

WIP Limits (Critical Chain)

• Max active hypotheses: 3
• Max concurrent experiments: 2
• Stagger rule: do not start a new experiment until the bottleneck step of the current one is complete

If the founder asks to add a 4th active hypothesis -> ask: "Which of the current ones are you pausing or killing?"

Reason: each parallel project doubles the lead time of all others (Goldratt Critical Chain). Less WIP = faster throughput.

Relay Race (Critical Chain)

Don't wait for the deadline. If evidence is sufficient for a decision (keep/kill/reframe) BEFORE the timebox — decide now.

On every hypothesis update, check: "Is there enough data for a decision already?" If yes -> flag: "H00X has sufficient evidence. Relay race — decide now."