forecast-consensus-comparison
Forecast consensus comparison
Access and scope
Set CRAWLORA_API_KEY to your Crawlora key. Prefer the listed Crawlora MCP tools
when connected; otherwise use the bundled scripts/crawlora.sh, which sends
x-api-key to https://api.crawlora.net/api/v1. Read
reference/endpoints.md for exact methods and parameters.
Check application code as well as HTTP status; payloads are inside data.
Stop on authentication errors, back off on 429, and retry a transient upstream
failure once. Bound calls/pages by the requested scope and credit budget. Retain
source IDs, URLs, source dates, and observation/crawl times separately.
Compare source-attributed forecasts for the same precisely defined question. Establish event, outcome, jurisdiction, time horizon, cutoff, and desired sources. Keep a match rubric before interpreting a gap between prices or community forecasts.