business-evaluation
[IMPORTANT] Use
TaskCreateto break ALL work into small tasks BEFORE starting.
Prerequisites: MUST READ before executing:
.claude/skills/shared/web-research-protocol.md
External Memory: For complex or lengthy work (research, analysis, scan, review), write intermediate findings and final results to a report file in
plans/reports/— prevents context loss and serves as deliverable.
Evidence Gate: MANDATORY IMPORTANT MUST — every claim, finding, and recommendation requires
file:lineproof or traced evidence with confidence percentage (>80% to act, <80% must verify first).
Quick Summary
Goal: Evaluate business idea viability with BMC, financials, risk matrix, GTM, and execution plan.
Workflow:
- Capture idea — Problem, solution, target customer
- Load market analysis — Market data from market-analysis
- Business Model Canvas — All 9 blocks with evidence
- Financial projections — 3-year revenue, costs, break-even
- Risk assessment — 5+ risks with mitigation
- Execution plan — 3 phases with milestones
- Verdict — Viability score, confidence, recommendation
Key Rules:
- All 9 BMC blocks required, each with evidence
- Financial projections: explicit assumptions table
- Minimum 5 risks with mitigation AND residual risk
- Verdict must be evidence-backed with confidence declaration
Be skeptical. Apply critical thinking, sequential thinking. Every claim needs traced proof, confidence percentages (Idea should be more than 80%).
Business Evaluation
Step 1: Capture the Idea
From user input, extract:
- One-liner — Elevator pitch in 1 sentence
- Problem — What pain point does it solve?
- Solution — How does it solve it?
- Target customer — Who specifically benefits?
Step 2: Business Model Canvas
All 9 blocks required:
| Block | Key Question | Evidence Required |
|---|---|---|
| Customer Segments | Who are we serving? | Market research |
| Value Propositions | What value do we deliver? | Customer pain points |
| Channels | How do we reach customers? | Channel analysis |
| Customer Relationships | How do we maintain relationships? | Retention strategy |
| Revenue Streams | How do we make money? | Pricing research |
| Key Resources | What do we need? | Resource assessment |
| Key Activities | What must we do? | Operational analysis |
| Key Partnerships | Who helps us? | Partner landscape |
| Cost Structure | What does it cost? | Cost analysis |
Step 3: Financial Projections (3 Years)
Revenue Model
| Year | Users/Customers | ARPU | Revenue | Growth |
|---|
Cost Structure
| Category | Y1 | Y2 | Y3 |
|---|
Break-Even
- Monthly burn: ${X}
- Break-even point: Month/Year
- Funding needed: ${X}
Assumptions Table
Every number must list its assumption and source.
Step 4: Risk Assessment
Minimum 5 risks:
| Risk | Likelihood | Impact | Mitigation | Residual Risk |
|---|
Categories to consider: market, execution, financial, competitive, regulatory, technical.
Step 5: Execution Plan
| Phase | Timeline | Focus | Key Milestones |
|---|---|---|---|
| Validation | 0-3 months | Customer discovery, MVP | N interviews, prototype |
| Build | 3-6 months | Core product, early users | Beta launch, first revenue |
| Growth | 6-12 months | Scale, optimize | Revenue target, team size |
Step 6: Go-to-Market
- Launch strategy — How to enter the market
- Initial channels — Top 3 acquisition channels
- Pricing strategy — Model + rationale + competitive comparison
Step 7: Verdict
- Viability score: 1-10 with rationale
- Confidence: 95%/80%/60%/<60% with evidence basis
- Recommendation: Pursue | Pivot | Pause | Pass
- Key condition: What must be true for this to succeed?
Output
Write to docs/knowledge/strategy/business/{descriptive-slug}.md using enforced template from docs/templates/business-evaluation-template.md.
IMPORTANT Task Planning Notes (MUST FOLLOW)
- Always plan and break work into many small todo tasks using
TaskCreate - Always add a final review todo task to verify work quality and identify fixes/enhancements
Next Steps
MANDATORY IMPORTANT MUST after completing this skill, use AskUserQuestion to recommend:
- "/domain-analysis (Recommended)" — Analyze domain model from business evaluation
- "/plan" — If ready to plan implementation
- "Skip, continue manually" — user decides
Closing Reminders
MANDATORY IMPORTANT MUST break work into small todo tasks using TaskCreate BEFORE starting.
MANDATORY IMPORTANT MUST validate decisions with user via AskUserQuestion — never auto-decide.
MANDATORY IMPORTANT MUST add a final review todo task to verify work quality.