gate-news-eventexplain

The "Why is it pumping/dumping?" Skill. When the market experiences abnormal volatility and the user asks why, the system traces the event source through multi-step calls, cross-references market data to verify impact magnitude, and delivers a complete "Event → Impact Chain → Market Reaction" analysis report.

Trigger Scenarios: User expresses curiosity about a market anomaly, e.g., "why did BTC crash", "what just happened", "why did ETH suddenly spike".

Routing Rules

User Intent	Keywords	Action
Reason for price move	"why pump" "why dump" "crash" "surge" "what caused" "what happened"	Execute this Skill's full workflow
General news query	"any recent news"	Route to `gate-news-briefing`
Comprehensive coin analysis	"analyze BTC for me"	Route to `gate-info-coinanalysis`
Technical analysis	"BTC technical analysis"	Route to `gate-info-trendanalysis`
Market overview	"how's the market"	Route to `gate-info-marketoverview`

Execution Workflow

Step 1: Intent Recognition & Parameter Extraction

Extract from user input:

coin: The coin involved (e.g., BTC, ETH; may be empty = overall market)
direction: Up or down (aids search)
time_hint: Time clue ("just now", "today", "yesterday"; default: past 24h)

Step 2: Phase 1 — Event Search + Market Verification (Parallel)

Step	MCP Tool	Parameters	Retrieved Data	Parallel
1a	`news_events_get_latest_events`	`coin={coin}, time_range="24h", limit=10`	Related event list	Yes
1b	`info_marketsnapshot_get_market_snapshot`	`symbol={coin}, timeframe="1d", source="spot"`	Real-time market snapshot (verify volatility magnitude)	Yes

Both Tools called in parallel.

Step 3: Decision Branch

events response
    │
    ├── Matching event found (event time aligns with volatility onset)
    │   └── → Step 4a: Get event details
    │
    └── No clear event match
        └── → Step 4b: Expand news search

Step 4a: Event Found → Get Details + On-chain Verification

Step	MCP Tool	Parameters	Retrieved Data	Parallel
2a	`news_events_get_event_detail`	`event_id={matched_event_id}`	Event details (cause, impact, timeline)	Yes
2b	`info_onchain_get_token_onchain`	`token={coin}, chain="eth", scope="transfers"`	On-chain anomalies (large transfers, exchange inflows/outflows)	Yes

Step 4b: No Event Found → Expand Search

Step	MCP Tool	Parameters	Retrieved Data	Parallel
2c	`news_feed_search_news`	`coin={coin}, sort_by="time", limit=15`	Latest related news (sorted by time)	Yes
2d	`info_onchain_get_token_onchain`	`token={coin}, chain="eth", scope="transfers"`	On-chain anomalies	Yes

Step 5: LLM Attribution Reasoning

The LLM must complete the following reasoning chain:

Confirm the volatility: Based on the market snapshot, confirm the timing, magnitude, and volume change
Identify the trigger event: From events/news, find the event with the closest time alignment
Verify causality: Did the event precede the price move? Is there corresponding on-chain activity?
Assess the impact chain: Event → Direct impact → Sentiment transmission → Price reaction
Evaluate follow-on potential: Based on the event's nature, assess whether the impact is short-term or sustained

Step 6: Output Structured Report

Report Template

## {coin} {Pump/Dump} Attribution Analysis

> Analysis time: {timestamp}

### 1. Volatility Summary

| Metric | Value |
|--------|-------|
| Current Price | ${price} |
| Move Magnitude | {change}% (within {timeframe}) |
| High | ${high} ({time}) |
| Low | ${low} ({time}) |
| Volume Change | {volume_change}% (vs 24h average) |
| Futures Liquidations | ${liquidation} (if available) |

### 2. Core Triggering Event

🔴 **{event_title}**

- Event Time: {event_time}
- Event Type: {Regulation / Project Development / Market Manipulation / Macro Economic / Technical Failure / Whale Activity}
- Details: {2-3 sentence description}
- Source: {source}

### 3. Event → Impact Chain

{event} │ ├── Direct Impact: {description} │ e.g., SEC lawsuit → Regulatory uncertainty for the token increases │ ├── Sentiment Transmission: {description} │ e.g., Panic spreads → Fear & Greed Index drops from 65 to 35 │ └── Price Reaction: {description} e.g., {coin} dropped from ${high} to ${low} within 2 hours of the event


### 4. On-chain Verification

{If on-chain data is available:}

| On-chain Metric | Anomaly |
|----------------|---------|
| Exchange Inflows | {increase/decrease}, {description} |
| Large Transfers | {count} transfers exceeding ${threshold} |
| Whale Activity | {description} |
| Futures Funding Rate | {change description} |

{Does the on-chain data corroborate the event narrative?}

### 5. Ripple Effects

{Did this event affect other coins/sectors?}

- {Related coin 1}: {impact description}
- {Related coin 2}: {impact description}
- Sector impact: {e.g., L1 sector declined broadly, DeFi sector affected}

### 6. Forward Outlook

{Based on the event's nature, assess the follow-on impact:}

| Dimension | Assessment |
|-----------|------------|
| Impact Duration | {One-time shock / Short-term (1-3 days) / Medium-term (1-2 weeks) / Long-term} |
| What to Watch Next | {Items to monitor: court ruling, policy details, project response, etc.} |
| Historical Precedent | {Similar past events and their outcomes, if any} |

### ⚠️ Important Notes

- Market moves may be caused by multiple overlapping factors; the above analysis is based on currently available information
- Long-term impact of the event remains uncertain

> The above analysis is based on public information and on-chain data. It does not constitute investment advice.

Template When No Event Can Be Identified

## {coin} Volatility Analysis

> Analysis time: {timestamp}

### Volatility Summary

{Same as above}

### Possible Cause Analysis

⚠️ No single clear triggering event was identified. The following is a composite analysis:

**Possible Factor 1: {description}**
- Evidence: {related news/data}
- Likelihood: {High/Medium/Low}

**Possible Factor 2: {description}**
- Evidence: ...
- Likelihood: ...

**On-chain Clues**
{Any anomalous on-chain data that could help explain the move?}

### Composite Assessment

{LLM's composite analysis, with uncertainty explicitly acknowledged}

> Note: No single clear triggering event was found for this move. The above analysis is an informed assessment based on available data.

Reasoning Logic

Event Matching Logic

Condition	Assessment
Event time < price move start time	✅ Temporally plausible as a trigger
Event time > price move start time	❌ Unlikely to be the trigger (may be follow-up reporting)
Event impact rating = "High"	Weight +2
Event involves the queried coin	Weight +3
Event type = "Regulation/Policy"	Typically causes larger moves
Multiple events simultaneously	Composite analysis — likely multi-factor

Volatility Magnitude Assessment

Magnitude	Label
< 3%	Normal volatility — may not require a specific event explanation
3% – 10%	Moderate volatility — look for recent news/events
10% – 20%	Large volatility — typically has a clear event driver
> 20%	Extreme volatility — major event or black swan almost certain

On-chain Anomaly Assessment

Condition	Assessment
Exchange inflows surge > 3x average	"Large token inflows to exchanges — potential selling pressure"
Exchange outflows surge > 3x average	"Large token outflows from exchanges — possible accumulation"
Large transfer count > 5x average	"Abnormally active large transfers"
Futures liquidations > $100M	"Massive futures liquidation cascade — amplified price volatility"

Error Handling

Error Type	Handling
`news_events_get_latest_events` finds no matching event	Proceed to Step 4b — expand news search
`news_events_get_event_detail` fails	Generate report based on event list summaries only
`info_onchain_get_token_onchain` unavailable (P1 phase)	Skip on-chain verification section; note "On-chain data temporarily unavailable"
`info_marketsnapshot_get_market_snapshot` fails	Cannot confirm volatility magnitude; degrade to showing event info only
Both news and events return no results	Honestly inform the user "No clear cause has been identified at this time"; suggest monitoring for updates
All Tools fail	Return error message; suggest the user try again later

Cross-Skill Routing

User Follow-up Intent	Route To
"Analyze BTC for me"	`gate-info-coinanalysis`
"Give me a technical analysis"	`gate-info-trendanalysis`
"How's the overall market?"	`gate-info-marketoverview`
"Recent news?"	`gate-news-briefing`
"Any on-chain anomalies?"	`gate-info-tokenonchain`
"Track this address"	`gate-info-addresstracker`

Safety Rules

No definitive causal claims: Use language like "likely caused by", "the most closely related event is" — avoid absolute causal assertions
No follow-on predictions: Do not output "it will continue to rise/fall" style predictions
No investment advice: Do not give buy/sell recommendations based on event analysis
Acknowledge uncertainty: When the causal link between event and move is uncertain, explicitly state it
Source attribution: Events and news must cite their sources
Flag missing data: When on-chain data or event details are unavailable, explicitly state it
Avoid amplifying panic: When describing crashes or black-swan events, maintain objective, neutral language — no sensationalist rhetoric