earnings-recap

SKILL.md
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This skill contains shell command directives (!`command`) that may execute system commands. Review carefully before installing.

Earnings Recap Skill

Generates a post-earnings analysis using Yahoo Finance data via yfinance. Covers the actual vs estimated numbers, surprise magnitude, stock price reaction, and financial context — a complete picture of what happened.

Important: Data is for research and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. yfinance is not affiliated with Yahoo, Inc.


Step 1: Ensure yfinance Is Available

Current environment status:

!`python3 -c "import yfinance; print('yfinance ' + yfinance.__version__ + ' installed')" 2>/dev/null || echo "YFINANCE_NOT_INSTALLED"`

If YFINANCE_NOT_INSTALLED, install it:

import subprocess, sys
subprocess.check_call([sys.executable, "-m", "pip", "install", "-q", "yfinance"])

If already installed, skip to the next step.


Step 2: Identify the Ticker and Gather Data

Extract the ticker from the user's request. Fetch all relevant post-earnings data in one script.

import yfinance as yf
import pandas as pd
from datetime import datetime, timedelta

ticker = yf.Ticker("AAPL")  # replace with actual ticker

# --- Earnings result ---
earnings_hist = ticker.earnings_history

# --- Financial statements ---
quarterly_income = ticker.quarterly_income_stmt
quarterly_cashflow = ticker.quarterly_cashflow
quarterly_balance = ticker.quarterly_balance_sheet

# --- Price reaction ---
# Get ~30 days of history to capture the reaction window
hist = ticker.history(period="1mo")

# --- Context ---
info = ticker.info
news = ticker.news
recommendations = ticker.recommendations

What to extract

Data Source Key Fields Purpose
earnings_history epsEstimate, epsActual, epsDifference, surprisePercent Beat/miss result
quarterly_income_stmt TotalRevenue, GrossProfit, OperatingIncome, NetIncome, BasicEPS Actual financials
history() Close prices around earnings date Stock price reaction
info currentPrice, marketCap, forwardPE Current context
news Recent headlines Earnings-related news

Step 3: Determine the Most Recent Earnings

The most recent earnings result is the first row (most recent date) in earnings_history. Use its date to:

  1. Identify the earnings date for the price reaction analysis
  2. Match to the corresponding quarter in the financial statements
  3. Calculate stock price reaction — compare the close before earnings to the next trading day's close (or open, depending on whether earnings were before/after market)

Price reaction calculation

import numpy as np

# Find the earnings date from earnings_history index
earnings_date = earnings_hist.index[0]  # most recent

# Get daily prices around the earnings date
hist_extended = ticker.history(start=earnings_date - timedelta(days=5),
                                end=earnings_date + timedelta(days=5))

# The reaction is typically measured as:
# - Close on the last trading day before earnings -> Close on the first trading day after
# Be careful with before/after market reports
if len(hist_extended) >= 2:
    pre_price = hist_extended['Close'].iloc[0]
    post_price = hist_extended['Close'].iloc[-1]
    reaction_pct = ((post_price - pre_price) / pre_price) * 100

Note: The exact reaction window depends on when the company reported (before market open vs after close). The price data will reflect this — look for the biggest gap between consecutive closes near the earnings date.


Step 4: Build the Earnings Recap

Section 1: Headline Result

Lead with the key numbers:

  • EPS: Actual vs. Estimate, beat/miss by how much, surprise %
  • Revenue: Actual vs. prior year (from quarterly_income_stmt TotalRevenue)
  • Stock reaction: % move on earnings day

Example: "AAPL beat Q3 EPS estimates by 3.7% ($1.40 actual vs $1.35 expected). Revenue grew 5.4% YoY to $94.3B. The stock rose +2.1% on the report."

Section 2: Earnings vs. Estimates Detail

Metric Estimate Actual Surprise
EPS $1.35 $1.40 +$0.05 (+3.7%)

If the user asked about a specific quarter (not the most recent), look further back in earnings_history.

Section 3: Quarterly Financial Trends

Show the last 4 quarters of key metrics from quarterly_income_stmt:

Quarter Revenue YoY Growth Gross Margin Operating Margin EPS
Q3 2024 $94.3B +5.4% 46.2% 30.1% $1.40
Q2 2024 $85.8B +4.9% 46.0% 29.8% $1.33
Q1 2024 $119.6B +2.1% 45.9% 33.5% $2.18
Q4 2023 $89.5B -0.3% 45.2% 29.2% $1.26

Calculate margins from the raw financials:

  • Gross Margin = GrossProfit / TotalRevenue
  • Operating Margin = OperatingIncome / TotalRevenue

Section 4: Stock Price Reaction

  • The % move on the earnings day/next session
  • How it compares to the stock's average earnings-day move (calculate the average absolute move from the last 4 earnings dates in earnings_history)
  • Where the stock is now relative to the earnings-day move (has it held, given back gains, extended further?)

Section 5: Context & What Changed

Based on the data, note:

  • Whether margins expanded or compressed vs prior quarter
  • Any notable changes in revenue growth trajectory
  • How the beat/miss compares to the stock's historical pattern (from the full earnings_history)
  • Current analyst sentiment from recommendations if available

Step 5: Respond to the User

Present the recap as a clean, structured summary:

  1. Lead with the headline: "AAPL reported Q3 2024 earnings on [date]: Beat EPS by 3.7%, revenue +5.4% YoY."
  2. Show the tables for detail
  3. Highlight what matters: Was this a meaningful beat or a low-bar situation? Is the trend improving or deteriorating?
  4. Keep it factual — present the data, avoid making investment recommendations

Caveats to include

  • Yahoo Finance data may not include all details from the earnings call (guidance, segment breakdowns)
  • Revenue estimates are harder to compare precisely — yfinance provides YoY comparison from financial statements
  • Price reaction may be influenced by broader market moves on the same day
  • This is not financial advice

Reference Files

  • references/api_reference.md — Detailed yfinance API reference for earnings history and financial statement methods

Read the reference file when you need exact method signatures or to handle edge cases in the financial data.

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