skills/poemswe/co-researcher/hypothesis-testing

hypothesis-testing

SKILL.md

1. Hypothesis Formulation

  • The "High-Quality" Checklist: Focused, researchable, complex, and arguable.
  • Directional vs. Non-directional: Specifying effects (H₁: X > Y) vs. differences (H₁: X ≠ Y).
  • Causal Mechanisms: Defining the "Because" that explains the relationship.

2. Variable Mapping & Operationalization

  • Variable roles: Independent (IV), Dependent (DV), Control, Confound, Mediator, Moderator.
  • Scaling: Nominal, Ordinal, Interval, Ratio levels of measurement.

3. Experimental Design Selection

  • RCTs: The gold standard for causal inference.
  • Quasi-experiments: For cases where random assignment is impossible.
  • Observational studies: Longitudinal vs. Cross-sectional designs.

<output_format>

Hypothesis Development: [Topic]

Research Question: [Specific, researchable question]

Hypotheses:

  • $H_0$ (Null): [No relationship/effect]
  • $H_1$ (Alternative): [Stated relationship/effect]
  • Mechanism: [Theoretical "Why"]

Variable Matrix:

Variable Role Operational Definition
[V1] [IV/DV/Ctrl] [Measurement method]

Experimental Design:

  • Type: [Design name]
  • Justification: [Why this design fits]

Falsification Criteria: [Specific results that would disprove $H_1$] </output_format>

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