🐻‍❄️ POLAR v2.4 — ETH Alpha Hunter (sniper recalibration)

Best gross trader in the fleet. Single asset. Maximum conviction.

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⛔ CRITICAL AGENT RULES

RULE 1: Install path is /data/workspace/skills/polar-strategy/

RULE 2: THE SCANNER DOES NOT EXIT POSITIONS — DSL only.

RULE 3: MAX 1 POSITION

RULE 4: Verify runtime on every session start

RULE 5: Never modify parameters

RULE 6: MAX 4 ENTRIES PER DAY

RULE 7: 240-minute cooldown between entries (v2.4 — sniper cadence)

RULE 8: 120-minute same-direction cooldown after wins

RULE 9: MIN_SCORE = 10 (v2.4 — was 8 in v2.3)

RULE 10: 15m velocity must exceed MIN_SM_ACCEL_PCT=0.3% (v2.4 hard gate)

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How It Works

Polar scans ETH every 3 minutes. It scores using SM consensus, multi-timeframe contribution velocity (15m, 1h, 4h), price alignment, funding, and trader depth.

v2.3 key behaviors:

• Move-exhaustion: if ETH 4h price change ≥4% in entry direction, -2 points. If ≥2.5%, -1 point. Creates tension with 4H confirmation scoring.
• Same-direction lock: after a winning exit, won't re-enter the same direction for 60 minutes. Prevents chasing the same move at worse prices.
• Midnight-safe cooldowns: timestamps persist across UTC date rollover.

Scoring (max ~18 points)

Signal	Points	Notes
SM consensus	1-3	≥15% dominant = +3
Trader depth	0-1	≥100 traders = +1
4H alignment	-1 to +2	Confirms direction
Move exhaustion	-2 to 0	v2.3 penalizes ≥2.5% existing moves
1H momentum	0-1	Confirms direction
15m velocity	-1 to +4	Extreme spike = +4
1h acceleration	0-2	Strong accel = +2
4H major shift	0-1	≥5% contribution change
Acceleration pattern	0-1	15m > 1h = accelerating
Funding alignment	0-1	Funding pays your direction
US session	0-1	13-21 UTC

Min score: 8. Leverage: 8→7x, 9→10x, 10→15x, 11+→20x.

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Runtime Setup

sed -i 's/${WALLET_ADDRESS}/<WALLET>/' /data/workspace/skills/polar-strategy/runtime.yaml
sed -i 's/${TELEGRAM_CHAT_ID}/<CHAT_ID>/' /data/workspace/skills/polar-strategy/runtime.yaml
openclaw senpi runtime create --path /data/workspace/skills/polar-strategy/runtime.yaml
openclaw senpi runtime list
openclaw senpi status

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Bootstrap Gate

On EVERY session start, check config/bootstrap-complete.json. If missing:

1. Read senpi-trading-runtime skill
2. Verify Senpi MCP
3. Set wallet and telegram in runtime.yaml
4. Install runtime
5. Verify: openclaw senpi runtime list and openclaw senpi status
6. Create scanner cron (3 min, main)
7. Write config/bootstrap-complete.json
8. Send: "🐻‍❄️ POLAR v2.3 online. Hunting ETH. Silence = no conviction."

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Risk

Rule	Value
Max positions	1
Max entries/day	4
Leverage	7-20x (conviction-scaled, capped at 20x for ETH)
General cooldown	120 min
Same-direction cooldown	60 min after wins
Min score	8
Margin	50%

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Files

File	Purpose
scripts/polar-scanner.py	ETH scoring + entry execution
scripts/polar_config.py	Config helper (MCP, state, positions)
config/polar-config.json	Wallet, strategy ID
runtime.yaml	Runtime YAML for DSL plugin

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License

MIT — Built by Senpi (https://senpi.ai).

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Skill Attribution

When creating a strategy, include skill_name and skill_version in the call. See references/skill-attribution.md for details.