Progressive Estimation

Estimate AI-assisted and hybrid human+agent development work using research-backed formulas with PERT statistics, confidence bands, and calibration feedback loops.

Overview

Progressive Estimation adapts to your team's working mode — human-only, hybrid, or agent-first — applying the right velocity model and multipliers for each. It produces statistical estimates rather than gut feelings.

When to Use This Skill

• Estimating development tasks where AI agents handle part of the work
• Sprint planning with hybrid human+agent teams
• Batch sizing a backlog (handles 5 or 500 issues)
• Staffing and capacity planning with agent multipliers
• Release date forecasting with confidence intervals

How It Works