causal-inference
SKILL.md
Causal Inference
A lightweight causal layer for predicting action outcomes, not by pattern-matching correlations, but by modeling interventions and counterfactuals.
Core Invariant
Every action must be representable as an explicit intervention on a causal model, with predicted effects + uncertainty + a falsifiable audit trail.
Plans must be causally valid, not just plausible.
When to Trigger
Trigger this skill on ANY high-level action, including but not limited to:
| Domain | Actions to Log |
|---|---|
| Communication | Send email, send message, reply, follow-up, notification, mention |
| Calendar | Create/move/cancel meeting, set reminder, RSVP |
| Tasks | Create/complete/defer task, set priority, assign |