skills/skills.volces.com/pre-mortem-analyst

pre-mortem-analyst

SKILL.md

Pre-Mortem Analyst

Why Pre-Mortem > Risk Assessment

Risk Assessment: "What MIGHT go wrong?" → Optimism bias filters answers Pre-Mortem: "It's 6 months later. It FAILED. Why?" → Liberates honest analysis

Research: Pre-mortems increase problem identification by 30%.

The Process

  1. Set the scene: "It's [date]. This has failed completely."
  2. Brainstorm causes: List 10+ failure reasons (no filtering)
  3. Categorize: People, Process, Technology, External
  4. Rate: Likelihood × Impact (H/M/L)
  5. Prevent: Top 3 get specific mitigation actions
  6. Monitor: Define early warning signs

Output Format

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First Seen
Apr 14, 2026