macro-calendar

SKILL.md

Economic Calendar & Macro Data

Track macroeconomic events and economic indicators that impact crypto markets.

Data Sources

1. FRED API (Federal Reserve Economic Data)

https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/

Free API key: register at https://fred.stlouisfed.org/docs/api/api_key.html

If FRED_API_KEY is set, use it. Otherwise, note the data is unavailable and suggest the user register for a free key.

Key Series

Series ID Description
FEDFUNDS Federal Funds Effective Rate
CPIAUCSL Consumer Price Index (CPI)
UNRATE Unemployment Rate
GDP Gross Domestic Product
DGS10 10-Year Treasury Yield
DGS2 2-Year Treasury Yield
T10Y2Y 10Y-2Y Spread (yield curve)
M2SL M2 Money Supply
WALCL Fed Balance Sheet Total Assets
DEXUSEU USD/EUR Exchange Rate

Endpoints

Latest observation:

GET /fred/series/observations?series_id={id}&sort_order=desc&limit=1&api_key={key}&file_type=json

Historical data:

GET /fred/series/observations?series_id={id}&observation_start={YYYY-MM-DD}&api_key={key}&file_type=json

Series metadata:

GET /fred/series?series_id={id}&api_key={key}&file_type=json

2. Finnhub Economic Calendar

https://finnhub.io/api/v1/calendar/economic

Free API key: register at https://finnhub.io. Set FINNHUB_API_KEY.

Endpoint

GET /calendar/economic?from={YYYY-MM-DD}&to={YYYY-MM-DD}&token={key}

Returns upcoming economic events with:

  • event — event name
  • country — country code
  • impacthigh, medium, low
  • actual / estimate / prev — data values
  • time — event timestamp

Key Events for Crypto

High Impact

Event Frequency Why It Matters
FOMC Rate Decision 8x/year Rate hikes → risk-off → crypto down
CPI (Inflation) Monthly High CPI → more hikes expected
Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Monthly Strong jobs → hawkish Fed
GDP Quarterly Recession fears → flight to safety
PCE Price Index Monthly Fed's preferred inflation gauge

Medium Impact

Event Frequency Why It Matters
PMI (Manufacturing) Monthly Economic health indicator
Retail Sales Monthly Consumer spending strength
Jobless Claims Weekly Labor market pulse
ISM Services Monthly Service sector health

Impact on Crypto

General patterns (not financial advice):

  • Rate cuts / dovish Fed → bullish for crypto (more liquidity)
  • Rate hikes / hawkish Fed → bearish for crypto (less liquidity)
  • CPI above expectations → bearish (more hikes coming)
  • CPI below expectations → bullish (rate cuts possible)
  • Strong jobs data → mixed (good economy but hawkish Fed)
  • Yield curve inversion → recession signal, initially bearish then bullish

Usage Notes

  • Always note that macro-to-crypto correlation is not guaranteed
  • Present event times in the user's timezone when possible
  • For FOMC meetings, note both the date and the press conference time
  • Combine with crypto-news for full market context
  • If no API keys are available, summarize what data would be accessible and suggest registration

Example Interactions

User: "When is the next Fed meeting?" → Check Finnhub calendar for FOMC events, report date and current rate expectations

User: "What's the current CPI?" → Fetch FRED series CPIAUCSL, report latest reading and YoY change

User: "Any major economic events this week?" → Fetch Finnhub calendar for current week, filter by high impact, list events

User: "How does the yield curve look?" → Fetch DGS10, DGS2, T10Y2Y from FRED, report current spread and inversion status

Weekly Installs
29
GitHub Stars
289
First Seen
Feb 28, 2026
Installed on
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