Good Strategy Framework

A framework for evaluating, designing, and stress-testing strategies. Based on Richard Rumelt's "Good Strategy Bad Strategy" and enriched with Michael Porter's "What Is Strategy?" — the definitive works on distinguishing real strategy from the fluff that passes for it. Includes a built-in pre-mortem stress test.

Core Principle

Strategy is not a goal. Strategy is a coherent response to a challenge. Most organizations confuse strategy with ambition ("be the market leader"), goals ("grow 30% YoY"), or a list of priorities ("our strategic priorities are..."). None of these are strategy. A strategy is a diagnosis of the situation, a guiding policy for dealing with it, and a set of coherent actions designed to carry out the policy.

Porter adds a critical insight: Strategy is about choosing what NOT to do. The essence of strategy is choosing a set of activities that are different from competitors. Operational effectiveness (doing the same things better) is not strategy. Competitive advantage comes from performing different activities or performing similar activities in different ways.

Scoring

Goal: 10/10. When evaluating a strategy, rate it 0-10:

Score	Description
0-2	No strategy. What exists is a list of goals, a vision statement, or a budget dressed up as a strategy.
3-4	Bad strategy. Contains fluff (inflated language saying nothing), fails to diagnose the challenge, or lists disconnected actions.
5-6	Partial strategy. Some elements of the kernel exist but they don't cohere. Actions don't flow from the diagnosis.
7-8	Good strategy. Clear diagnosis, guiding policy that leverages advantage, coherent actions. Trade-offs are explicit.
9-10	Exceptional strategy. The kernel is tight. Every action reinforces the others. Clear what the organization will NOT do. Creates a system of activities that is hard to imitate. Porter's "activity fit" is present.

The Strategy Kernel (Rumelt)

Every good strategy has three elements — the "kernel":

┌─────────────────────────┐
│      DIAGNOSIS          │  What's really going on?
│  (the critical challenge)│  Simplify complexity into
│                         │  an actionable framing
└───────────┬─────────────┘
            ▼
┌─────────────────────────┐
│    GUIDING POLICY       │  The approach chosen to
│  (the overall approach) │  deal with the challenge
│                         │  — includes trade-offs
└───────────┬─────────────┘
            ▼
┌─────────────────────────┐
│   COHERENT ACTIONS      │  Specific, coordinated
│  (what we actually do)  │  steps that execute the
│                         │  policy — they reinforce
│                         │  each other
└─────────────────────────┘

1. Diagnosis

Core concept: The diagnosis defines the challenge. It simplifies the overwhelming complexity of reality into a manageable problem by identifying the critical factors at work. A good diagnosis is like a doctor's diagnosis — it names the disease, not the symptoms.

Why it works: Without diagnosis, organizations treat symptoms or address everything at once (which means addressing nothing). The diagnosis creates leverage by focusing energy on what actually matters.

Key insights:

• The diagnosis is NOT "we need to grow" — that's an ambition
• The diagnosis identifies the SPECIFIC obstacle or opportunity
• A good diagnosis often reframes the problem in a way that makes the solution more obvious
• The most powerful diagnoses reveal an asymmetry the organization can exploit
• If your diagnosis could apply to any company in any industry, it's too generic

Product applications:

Context	Application	Example
Product strategy	Diagnose why growth stalled	"Our core users love us but can't convince their teams to adopt — this is a bottom-up tool trying to sell top-down"
Competitive response	Diagnose competitor's actual advantage	"They're not winning on features; they're winning on distribution through their existing platform"
Turnaround	Name the real problem	"We don't have a product problem; we have a positioning problem — buyers don't understand what category we're in"

Copy patterns:

• "The core challenge is not [symptom] — it's [root cause]"
• "We diagnosed the situation as [specific framing], which means [implication for action]"
• "Other companies in our position mistakenly treat this as a [wrong framing] problem. It's actually a [correct framing] problem."

Ethical boundary: Never frame the diagnosis to justify a pre-chosen solution. The diagnosis must be honest, even when it's uncomfortable.

See: references/strategic-diagnosis.md

2. Guiding Policy

Core concept: The guiding policy is the overall approach chosen to cope with the challenge identified in the diagnosis. It is not a goal or a vision — it's a direction that rules out many possible actions and focuses effort.

Why it works: A guiding policy creates boundaries that make decisions easier. Without it, every decision is debated from scratch. With it, teams can make autonomous decisions that are coherent because they follow the same policy.

Key insights:

• A guiding policy says what you WILL do AND what you WON'T do (trade-offs)
• "Focus on enterprise customers" is a guiding policy — it rules out SMB, consumer, and horizontal plays
• Porter's key insight: strategy requires trade-offs. If there's no trade-off, there's no strategy — just operational improvement
• The guiding policy should create advantage through focus, leverage, or positioning
• Test: if the opposite of your guiding policy is also reasonable, you have a real strategic choice

Product applications:

Context	Application	Example
Resource allocation	Use the policy to say "no"	"Our guiding policy is depth over breadth — we won't add integrations until core workflows are excellent"
Hiring	Align hiring with strategic direction	"We're going enterprise, so we hire enterprise sales before product-led growth engineers"
Feature requests	Filter through the guiding policy	"Does this request align with our policy of serving power users? If not, it's a 'not now.'"

Copy patterns:

• "Our guiding policy is [policy]. This means we will [do X] and will NOT [do Y]."
• "Every decision passes the [policy] test: does this deepen our [focus area] or dilute it?"
• "We chose [approach] over [alternative] because [trade-off rationale]."

Ethical boundary: A guiding policy must reflect genuine trade-offs, not empty statements that sound strategic but rule nothing out. "We will focus on quality" is not a guiding policy unless you're explicitly accepting slower shipping speed, fewer features, or higher cost.

See: references/guiding-policy.md

3. Coherent Actions

Core concept: Actions must be coordinated and mutually reinforcing. Coherence means the actions work together — each one amplifies the others. An incoherent strategy has actions pulling in different directions.

Why it works: Isolated actions are easy to copy. A system of coherent actions creates Porter's "activity fit" — a web of activities where each strengthens the others, making the whole much harder to replicate than any single piece.

Key insights:

• Coherent actions are NOT a to-do list — they must reinforce each other
• Porter's three levels of fit: (1) simple consistency, (2) activities reinforce each other, (3) optimization of effort — each level is harder to imitate
• If an action doesn't connect to other actions, it's probably not strategic
• Resource allocation IS strategy — where you put money and people reveals your real strategy, regardless of what documents say

Product applications:

Context	Application	Example
Roadmap review	Check that planned work is coherent	"Our actions: simplify onboarding + add team features + enterprise pricing — these cohere around a 'go enterprise' policy"
Activity system map	Draw connections between actions	If pricing, features, hiring, and marketing all reinforce one another, the strategy is coherent
Competitive defense	Design activity systems that are hard to copy	"A competitor can copy one feature, but they can't copy our entire system of content + community + certification"

Copy patterns:

• "These [N] actions reinforce each other: [action A] enables [action B], which amplifies [action C]"
• "A competitor could replicate [single action], but they can't replicate the system of [action A + B + C] working together"
• "Resource allocation reflects strategy: we put [X%] of [resource] into [priority], signaling [strategic intent]"

Ethical boundary: Never present disconnected initiatives as coherent by drawing superficial connections. If actions don't genuinely reinforce each other, acknowledge the incoherence and fix it rather than disguising it with narrative.

See: references/coherent-actions.md

The Four Hallmarks of Bad Strategy (Rumelt)

Hallmark	Definition	Example	Detection test
Fluff	Inflated, abstract language that says nothing	"We will leverage our synergistic capabilities to deliver stakeholder value"	Remove all adjectives. Is there any content left?
Failure to face the challenge	Avoids naming the problem	Strategy document talks about "opportunities" but never identifies what's actually hard	Can you state the challenge in one sentence? If not, it's being avoided
Mistaking goals for strategy	States desired outcomes without a plan	"Our strategy is to be #1 in the market" — that's an ambition, not a strategy	Does it tell you HOW, or just WHAT?
Bad strategic objectives	Long list of disconnected objectives	"Our 12 strategic priorities" — if everything is a priority, nothing is	Could you execute #5 without #1? If yes, they're not coherent

Strategy Stress Test: Pre-Mortem

After completing the strategy kernel, subject it to a pre-mortem. Assume the strategy has been executed for 18 months and has failed. What went wrong?

Pre-mortem prompt:

"It is 18 months from now. We fully committed to this strategy.
It failed. The diagnosis was wrong, the guiding policy didn't work,
or the actions didn't produce the expected results. What happened?"

Generate failure scenarios across these dimensions:

Dimension	Pre-mortem question	Example failure
Diagnosis	Was the diagnosis wrong?	"We thought the problem was distribution, but it was actually product-market fit"
Guiding policy	Did we choose the wrong trade-off?	"We went enterprise but our product DNA was consumer — the culture couldn't adapt"
Coherence	Did actions pull in different directions?	"Marketing targeted SMB while product built enterprise features — wasted effort"
Execution	Could we actually do what we planned?	"We didn't have the engineering talent for the platform play"
Environment	Did the market shift?	"The regulatory change we bet on didn't happen"
Competition	Did competitors respond?	"Incumbent matched our key feature in 3 months — our window was shorter than assumed"

For each scenario:

1. Likelihood (High / Medium / Low)
2. Impact (High / Medium / Low)
3. Early warning signal — what would you see in the first 3 months?
4. Mitigation — what changes now to reduce this risk?

Key insight: If the pre-mortem reveals that your diagnosis might be wrong, go back and stress-test the diagnosis before proceeding. A strategy built on a wrong diagnosis is worse than no strategy at all.

Common Mistakes

Mistake	Why It Fails	Fix
Strategy = goal-setting	Goals without a plan are wishes	Start with diagnosis, not targets
No trade-offs	If you're not saying "no" to something, you don't have a strategy	Name 3 things you will NOT do
Actions copied from competitors	Competing to be the best is not strategy — competing to be unique is (Porter)	Ask: "What activity system do we have that competitors can't easily replicate?"
50-page strategy document	Long documents hide lack of clarity	If you can't state the kernel in 3 paragraphs, it's not clear
Strategy by committee	Consensus strategies avoid hard trade-offs	Strategy requires a decision-maker willing to make enemies
Never updating the diagnosis	The world changes; your diagnosis might be wrong	Revisit the diagnosis quarterly — use the pre-mortem as a trigger

Quick Diagnostic

Question	If No	Action
Can you state the core challenge in one sentence?	Diagnosis is missing	Stop everything and diagnose the real challenge
Does your guiding policy rule things out?	No trade-offs = no strategy	List 3 things the guiding policy says "no" to
Do your actions reinforce each other?	Incoherent strategy	Draw an activity map. Remove actions that don't connect.
Have you run a pre-mortem?	Optimism bias unchecked	Imagine failure in 18 months — list top 5 causes
Could a competitor copy your strategy easily?	No activity fit / no moat	Design for Porter's second/third level of fit

Reference Files

• Strategic Diagnosis — How to diagnose the critical challenge, reframing techniques, asymmetry identification, common diagnostic traps, and worked examples across product, market, and organizational challenges
• Guiding Policy Design — Trade-off identification, the "opposite test" for real strategic choices, policy-to-action translation, and examples of strong vs. weak guiding policies
• Coherent Actions — Porter's three levels of activity fit, activity system mapping, coherence audits, resource allocation as strategy, and how to detect and fix incoherence
• Bad Strategy Detection — The four hallmarks in depth with real-world examples, fluff-detection techniques, the "goals vs. strategy" trap, and how to convert bad strategy into good strategy

Further Reading

• Good Strategy Bad Strategy by Richard Rumelt
• What Is Strategy? by Michael Porter (HBR)

About the Authors

Richard Rumelt is a professor at UCLA Anderson School of Management and one of the most influential thinkers in the strategy field. McKinsey & Company named him "strategy's strategist." Michael Porter is a professor at Harvard Business School and the founder of modern competitive strategy. His frameworks (Five Forces, Value Chain, Generic Strategies) are taught in every business school in the world.